Stress evolution of the San Andreas fault system: Recurrence interval versus locking depth

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Stress evolution of the San Andreas fault system: Recurrence interval versus locking depth

[1] Major ruptures along the San Andreas Fault System (SAFS) are driven by stress that has accumulated in the upper locked portion of the crust. The present-day stress accumulation rate on any given fault segment is fairly well resolved by current geodetic measurements. Model stress accumulation rates vary between 0.5 and 7 MPa per century and are inversely proportional to earthquake recurrence...

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Coulomb stress accumulation along the San Andreas Fault system

Stress accumulation rates along the primary segments of the San Andreas Fault system are computed using a three-dimensional (3-D) elastic half-space model with realistic fault geometry. The model is developed in the Fourier domain by solving for the response of an elastic halfspace due to a point vector body force and analytically integrating the force from a locking depth to infinite depth. Th...

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M 7.0 earthquake recurrence on the San Andreas fault from a stress renewal model

[1] Forecasting M 7.0 San Andreas fault earthquakes requires an assessment of their expected frequency. I used a three-dimensional finite element model of California to calculate volumetric static stress drops from scenario M 7.0 earthquakes on three San Andreas fault sections. The ratio of stress drop to tectonic stressing rate derived from geodetic displacements yielded recovery times at poin...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters

سال: 2009

ISSN: 0094-8276

DOI: 10.1029/2009gl037235